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DIA:NYSE ARCAState Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-03 - not real-time

$527.88

Latest Price

4/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) is trading at $527.88, just shy of its 52‑week high of $528.26 and comfortably above the 20‑day SMA of $516.13, indicating strong short‑term momentum. Technical indicators reinforce this view: the 14‑day RSI sits at 68.4 (still below overbought territory), the MACD line is bullish at 5.35 and the histogram remains positive, while the 200‑day SMA of $484.60 provides a solid long‑term base. Volume has been decreasing, suggesting a modest liquidity drag, but average daily volumes remain healthy (~4.8 M shares). The fund’s expense ratio is low at 0.16%, tracking error is zero, and the beta of 0.82 signals lower volatility relative to the broader market, which aligns with the current 30‑day volatility of 12.9%. Recent news shows a modest pre‑market uptick of ~0.1% after weaker‑than‑expected private payroll data, and a headline noting a new 52‑week high, both supporting the bullish bias. However, the proximity to the resistance level of $528.26 and a high Fear & Greed Index (Extreme Greed at 92.9) suggest caution against overextension. Overall, DIA remains a well‑tracked, low‑cost vehicle for exposure to large‑cap U.S. value stocks, but traders should monitor volume trends and resistance breakout potential.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near resistance at $528.26
  • RSI approaching overbought levels
  • Decreasing volume trend

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and SMA alignment
  • Low expense ratio and zero tracking error
  • Beta below 1 indicating lower market volatility

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified large‑cap value exposure via Dow Jones
  • Consistent dividend yield (~1.37%)
  • Historical stability and low tracking risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.16%
AUM$44.8B
Inception Date1998-01-13
Avg Daily Volume4,860,120
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield1.37%

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI68.4
Support$500.10
Resistance$528.26
MA 20$516.13
MA 50$505.85
MA 200$484.60
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.88

Risk Assessment

Beta0.82
Volatility12.90%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.