DIA:NYSE ARCAState Street SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-03 - not real-time
$527.88
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) is trading at $527.88, just shy of its 52‑week high of $528.26 and comfortably above the 20‑day SMA of $516.13, indicating strong short‑term momentum. Technical indicators reinforce this view: the 14‑day RSI sits at 68.4 (still below overbought territory), the MACD line is bullish at 5.35 and the histogram remains positive, while the 200‑day SMA of $484.60 provides a solid long‑term base. Volume has been decreasing, suggesting a modest liquidity drag, but average daily volumes remain healthy (~4.8 M shares). The fund’s expense ratio is low at 0.16%, tracking error is zero, and the beta of 0.82 signals lower volatility relative to the broader market, which aligns with the current 30‑day volatility of 12.9%. Recent news shows a modest pre‑market uptick of ~0.1% after weaker‑than‑expected private payroll data, and a headline noting a new 52‑week high, both supporting the bullish bias. However, the proximity to the resistance level of $528.26 and a high Fear & Greed Index (Extreme Greed at 92.9) suggest caution against overextension. Overall, DIA remains a well‑tracked, low‑cost vehicle for exposure to large‑cap U.S. value stocks, but traders should monitor volume trends and resistance breakout potential.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price near resistance at $528.26
- RSI approaching overbought levels
- Decreasing volume trend
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD and SMA alignment
- Low expense ratio and zero tracking error
- Beta below 1 indicating lower market volatility
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Diversified large‑cap value exposure via Dow Jones
- Consistent dividend yield (~1.37%)
- Historical stability and low tracking risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.16%
AUM$44.8B
Inception Date1998-01-13
Avg Daily Volume4,860,120
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield1.37%
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI68.4
Support$500.10
Resistance$528.26
MA 20$516.13
MA 50$505.85
MA 200$484.60
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.88
Risk Assessment
Beta0.82
Volatility12.90%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.